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Montenegro vs. Latvia - First Team to Score
polymarket

Montenegro vs. Latvia - First Team to Score

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 AM EST - Nov 12, 2026, 2:45 PM EST
Total volume:
N/A
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$33
11%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Montenegro

 - Polymarket

Montenegro - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:21h:55m

Montenegro to score first vs. Latvia?

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% High Projected APY: 550% Low liquidity 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Montenegro

Trade
51%
1%
Yes 95¢No 94¢
89¢
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

Latvia

48%
Yes 94¢No 99¢
93¢
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

Neither

93%
Yes 93¢No 53.5¢
—
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 21h
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Montenegro and Latvia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Montenegro" if Montenegro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Latvia" if Latvia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between Montenegro and Latvia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Montenegro" if Montenegro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Latvia" if Latvia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Montenegro vs. Latvia match tracks the current odds of either team scoring first, along with the trading volume and price history. You can see how the probabilities have shifted over time as traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $0, and the total volume traded on this market is $0. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding which team will take the early lead in this upcoming contest.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, and the odds adjust based on the collective wagers of all participants. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge with expert analysis, prediction markets can sometimes outperform them as more information becomes available and a broader range of perspectives are considered. It’s a fascinating comparison of different approaches to forecasting event outcomes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates, reflecting changes in sentiment and new information. The current implied probability of Latvia scoring first is 93.0%, and the price of shares in that outcome adjusts accordingly based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Montenegro vs. Latvia match. The official match records will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are confirmed. It's important to monitor the event schedule and official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also sway market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of shares purchased in one outcome – would likely cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the teams involved will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.