TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Montenegro vs. Latvia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Montenegro vs. Latvia?

Total volume:
$89
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$663
0.97%
Open interest:
$89
0%

Montenegro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 10d:02h:22m

Montenegro wins

76%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 76¢ buys you 132 shares | Odds: 76% Total Payout: $132 | Net Profit: $32 Multiplier: 1.32x | ROI: 32% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montenegro

Trade
76%
Yes 76¢No 34¢
10¢
N/A
$65
0%
N/A
$65
1w 3d 2h
Active
polymarket

Montenegro

Trade
71%
2%
Yes 76¢No 34¢
10¢
$257
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 23h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
76%
Yes 76¢No 34¢
Avg: 10¢Max: 10¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
24%
Yes 22¢No 86¢
8¢
N/A
$4
0%
N/A
$4
1w 3d 2h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Montenegro vs. Latvia)

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 22¢No 86¢
8¢
$229
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 23h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24%
Yes 22¢No 86¢
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
kalshi

Latvia

Trade
13%
Yes 14¢No 92¢
6¢
N/A
$20
0%
N/A
$20
1w 3d 2h
Active
polymarket

Latvia

Trade
11%
Yes 14¢No 92¢
6¢
$177
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 23h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13%
Yes 14¢No 92¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Montenegro and Latvia scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets exist for Montenegro winning, Latvia winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result provisions for game cancellation or abandonment, while Kalshi lacks these specific rules.Hero tip: Polymarket's more comprehensive abandonment rules introduce additional risk. Consider this when assessing market liquidity and potential for delayed resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by November 14, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result, the market resolves to 'No'. Abandoned games resolve according to governing body rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No specific rules are provided for game cancellation or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Montenegro and Latvia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Montenegro vs Latvia UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Montenegro, Latvia, or Tie occurs if the respective team wins, the teams draw, or neither team secures a victory within regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result after regulation time.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Montenegro vs. Latvia match from multiple prediction markets. Currently, the total volume across these markets is $89, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. By tracking prices on both Polymarket and Kalshi, we provide a consensus view of the likely result. This allows users to see where the ‘crowd’ believes the probability lies, and how opinions are shifting as new information becomes available. The dashboard aims to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment surrounding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. However, arbitrage opportunities can emerge, causing convergence between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporating information faster than sportsbooks, particularly regarding late-breaking news or unforeseen circumstances.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, the perceived credibility of information sources and risk tolerance among traders on each platform can lead to differing assessments of the probabilities involved in the Montenegro vs. Latvia match. These variations are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets.

This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 12, 2026. The outcome will be determined based on the official result of the Montenegro vs. Latvia match, as verified against credible public reporting. The platform will confirm the winning outcome once the official results are available and publicly accessible. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the actual event outcome and providing clarity for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Montenegro or Latvia would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related sporting events might influence overall confidence in team performance. Public statements from key players or analysts, and even significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks, could all serve as catalysts for movement in this market.