TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an international soccer match between Montenegro and Armenia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the UEFA Nations League competition and follows standard soccer rules.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Montenegro vs Armenia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined number of goals scored by both teams during the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The event is unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for real-time adjustments as new information emerges, such as team news or weather conditions. You may find that prediction market prices differ from sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches and more data becomes available, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and expectations, and the market price fluctuates with each trade. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in a particular outcome, while price movements reflect changes in sentiment and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Montenegro vs Armenia match will be the determining factor. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing football association, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those with incorrect predictions will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Montenegro or Armenia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team formations or tactical approaches could also affect trading activity. Additionally, public sentiment and any major upsets in related matches could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.