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$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

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$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Montenegro vs Armenia: Spread
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Montenegro vs Armenia?

Volume:
$49,341

Montenegro (-4.5)

 - Predict

Montenegro (-4.5) - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Montenegro (-4.5)

View
85%
Yes 85¢No 15¢
—
$129
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Armenia (-4.5)

85%
Yes 85¢No 15¢
—
$129
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Montenegro (-5.5)

85%
Yes 85¢No 15¢
—
$129
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Armenia (-5.5)

85%
Yes 85¢No 15¢
—
$11,889
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 3.5

5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
$11,922
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 5.5

5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
$153
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 1.5

4%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
$153
$2,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Both Teams to Score

3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$11,888
$1,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 6.5

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$153
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Montenegro (-1.5)

21%
Yes 21¢No 79¢
—
$130
$816
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Montenegro wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,107
N/A
N/A
$11,467
Settled
No
predict

O/U 0.5

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$127
$4,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 2.5

1%
55%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$159
$3,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 4.5

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$11,927
$1,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 7.5

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$128
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Montenegro (-2.5)

20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
$81
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Montenegro wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,459
N/A
N/A
$6,386
Settled
No
predict

Armenia (-1.5)

3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$129
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,187
N/A
N/A
$8,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Montenegro wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
$1,315
Settled
No
predict

Montenegro (-3.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
$1,174
Settled
No
predict

Armenia (-2.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$11,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Armenia (-3.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$129
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 8.5

N/A
N/A
—
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This group covers multiple spread markets for the UEFA Nations League match between Montenegro and Armenia. Each market asks whether a team will win by a specific margin of goals (e.g., -1.5, -2.5). Resolution depends on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets refer to a game scheduled for October 5, 2026, while Predict markets refer to the October 5, 2024 game. There are also differing spread thresholds.Hero tip: Be extremely careful to trade the correct game date. The spread thresholds also differ between platforms, so double-check before making a prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolution is based on the October 5th game, with varying spread thresholds (e.g., -1.5, -2.5). "This market will resolve to "Montenegro" if Montenegro win the game by 2 or more goals."
  • kalshi: Refers to a game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026, and focuses on spread thresholds (e.g., >2.5 goals). "If Montenegro wins by more than 2.5 goals...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution hinges on the victory margin in the Montenegro vs Armenia UEFA Nations League game set for October 5, 2026. Montenegro winning by more than 2.5 goals satisfies the first market, while a win exceeding 1.5 goals meets the second. Armenia must secure a win by more than 1.5 goals to fulfill the third market, and surpassing 2.5 goals achieves the fourth. All determinations are made following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty phases.

Predict

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks predictions on the spread for the Montenegro vs Armenia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $49,341, with $48,756 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the likely outcome, though prices can differ between the venues. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading volume on each platform, providing a comparative look at market sentiment regarding the final score difference in this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow participants to express their beliefs directly. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. It's important to consider both sources when evaluating the potential outcome of this market, as each provides unique insights into the Montenegro vs Armenia match.