TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Montenegro and Armenia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Montenegro and Armenia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ versus the opinions of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and may adjust their odds more rapidly in response to breaking news or large bets.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing opinions. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a stake in a particular halftime result, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each scenario.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the halftime result of the Montenegro vs. Armenia match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The result will be determined by which team is leading at the end of the first half of the game, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game reports about team morale could also play a role. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, can also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of either team leading at halftime has the potential to move this market.