TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Montenegro and Armenia. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Montenegro and Armenia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montenegro" if Montenegro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Armenia" if Armenia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Montenegro and Armenia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montenegro" if Montenegro are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Armenia" if Armenia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real-money wagers. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases, this market aims for a more decentralized and potentially more accurate forecast of which team will score first in the Montenegro vs. Armenia match.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases and trading behaviors on each platform contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket may attract more sophisticated traders, while Predict might have a broader range of participants. Additionally, variations in liquidity and market-making activity can influence prices. The differing probabilities reflect how each platform's community assesses the likelihood of each team scoring first in the Montenegro vs. Armenia match, based on available information and individual perspectives.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from key analysts could also impact trading activity. A significant shift in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media trends, might also cause price movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Montenegro or Armenia scoring first has the potential to move this market.