TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Montenegro and Armenia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Montenegro vs. Armenia match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Montenegro and Armenia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Montenegro vs. Armenia match originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likelihood of each exact score. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to observe that as an event approaches, the odds on Polymarket converge with those found at major sportsbooks, though significant differences can persist, especially for less conventional outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores, and the price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders directly influencing the odds based on their beliefs and available information. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Montenegro vs. Armenia match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Montenegro vs. Armenia match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the winning contract. Any adjustments or official revisions to the score will be reflected in the resolution. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Montenegro or Armenia would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for a specific playing style, could also impact the market. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team formations or tactical changes could also contribute to movement in this market before Oct 5, 2026.