TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Montedio Yamagata vs. Tokushima Vortis
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Montedio Yamagata vs. Tokushima Vortis?

Total volume:
$506
Volume 24h:
$143
431%
Liquidity:
$41,077
298%
Open interest:
$141
100%

Montedio

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 09h:33m:38s

Montedio wins

40%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 40¢ buys you 250 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $250 | Net Profit: $150 Multiplier: 2.50x | ROI: 150% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montedio

Trade
40%
Yes 40¢No 62¢
2¢
N/A
$36
0%
N/A
$36
9h 33m
Active
polymarket

Montedio Yamagata

39%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
$6,267
$201
1%
N/A
N/A
6h 33m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
38.7%
Yes 39.5¢No 62¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Vortis

33%
Yes 33¢No 69¢
2¢
N/A
$9
0%
N/A
$9
9h 33m
Active
polymarket

Tokushima Vortis

32%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
1¢
$18,268
$164
0%
N/A
N/A
6h 33m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31.6%
Yes 32.5¢No 69¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Tie

30%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
N/A
$96
0%
N/A
$96
9h 33m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Montedio Yamagata vs. Tokushima Vortis)

30%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
1¢
$16,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6h 33m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
30%
Yes 30¢No 71¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Montedio Yamagata and Tokushima Vortis on November 3, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves cancelled games to 'No', while Kalshi's behavior is undefined.Hero tip: Account for the possibility of cancellation when trading, especially on Kalshi where the market may remain open or resolve based on a rescheduled game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Montedio Yamagata, Tokushima Vortis win, or the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is cancelled, the market resolves to 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Montedio Yamagata, Tokushima Vortis win, or the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi does not specify resolution for cancelled games.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Montedio Yamagata and Tokushima Vortis.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, between Montedio and Vortis. The market resolves based on the result after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Montedio wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Montedio' market resolves to Yes. If Vortis achieves the victory under the same conditions, the 'Vortis' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome of the originally scheduled match and does not account for any subsequent replays, tiebreakers, or altered fixtures.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view of whether a particular outcome will occur in the Yamagata vs. Tokushima match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $506, with $148 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a real-time assessment of predictions regarding the match’s result. The dashboard compiles probabilities from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations. Polymarket currently favors Will Montedio Yamagata win on 2026-11-03? at 38.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Montedio wins at 40.0%.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Yamagata vs. Tokushima match, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, but it’s important to compare both to gain a well-rounded understanding of potential outcomes for this market.

Prices for the Yamagata vs. Tokushima match may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly, leading to differing levels of price efficiency. Differences in how each platform handles market creation and liquidity provision can also contribute to price discrepancies. These variations are natural and reflect the independent operation of each market.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Montedio Yamagata versus Tokushima Vortis match. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settling all outstanding positions in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Montedio Yamagata or Tokushima Vortis would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising winning or losing streak, could also influence trading activity. Major tactical changes announced by either team's manager, or even significant weather conditions predicted for the match day, could all contribute to movement in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely affect the odds.