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405,996

Markets across

40,551

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4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Montedio Yamagata vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Montedio Yamagata vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Volume:
$56,833

Tegevajaro

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:56 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tegevajaro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,448
N/A
N/A
$16,949
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Montedio Yamagata

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Montedio

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,238
N/A
N/A
$9,590
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,908
N/A
N/A
$6,973
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Montedio Yamagata vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Montedio Yamagata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki on October 25, 2026. Markets exist for Montedio Yamagata winning, Tegevajaro Miyazaki winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets share identical resolution criteria based on the official match result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official J.League statistics (https://www.jleague.jp/en/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team or a draw will determine the resolution of the respective markets.
  • If the match is postponed, resolution will be delayed until completion.
  • If the match is canceled with no makeup game, the 'Montedio Yamagata win' and 'Tegevajaro Miyazaki win' markets will resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market will resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official J.League statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, data from Flashscore will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the scheduled match time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 25, 2026 between Montedio Yamagata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Montedio vs Tegevajaro Japan J2 League match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Montedio or Tegevajaro wins the match within regular time. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Yamagata vs. Miyazaki match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $56,833. This allows traders to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' currently stands on the event. The dashboard tracks the aggregated probabilities and volume across platforms, offering a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. Currently, Polymarket leads with a probability of 87% for a specific outcome.

Prediction market odds, such as those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance risk and profit margins, while prediction markets leverage the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information, including real-time news and subtle signals that sportsbooks may miss. However, arbitrage opportunities can emerge, causing convergence between the two. The current volume of this market is $56,197.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, differences in market design, such as the types of contracts offered or the availability of limit orders, can contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a win for Montedio Yamagata at 87%, while Kalshi leans toward Tegevajaro winning. These differing probabilities reflect the unique dynamics of each platform's trading activity.