TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:21h:41m
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This group covers markets on the Montana State vs. Idaho State college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets include predicting the winner, point spreads, and the over/under total score. Several markets exist across Kalshi and Polymarket.
In the upcoming college football game between Montana State and Idaho State, scheduled for November 7 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montana State" if Montana State win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the named team wins the specified college football game scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Montana State and Idaho State, scheduled for November 7 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Montana State" if Montana State win the game. This market will resolve to "Idaho State" if Idaho State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, specifically, benefits from the aggregation of insights, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than those offered by a single sportsbook. The volume of $1,555 suggests a degree of interest and confidence in the crowd’s assessment.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to variations in user base, market structure, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors Spread: Idaho State (-14.5) at 99.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Montana St. wins at 84.0%. Different traders may have access to unique information or interpret available data differently, leading to discrepancies in their predictions. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – $1,555 in total – can influence price discovery and contribute to these observed differences. These variations are normal and reflect the dynamic nature of prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Montana State vs. Idaho State game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information that emerges. The market will then settle based on the established result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Montana State or Idaho State would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team morale, reported through credible sports news sources, could also influence trading activity. Even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions during the game could move the market. Any significant news impacting public perception of either team's chances of winning will be reflected in the trading volume and price adjustments on Polymarket and Kalshi.