TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Montana Grizzlies vs. Oregon Ducks
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Montana Grizzlies vs Oregon Ducks?

Total volume:
$7,033
Volume 24h:
$6,804
13,384%
Liquidity:
$2,346
27%
Open interest:
$6,395
2,691%

Oregon

 - Kalshi

Oregon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 06h:52m:43s

Oregon wins

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Oregon

Trade
96%
3%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$174
145%
N/A
$125
6h 52m
Active
polymarket

Montana Grizzlies vs. Oregon Ducks

5%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
$2,118
$180
0%
N/A
N/A
3h 52m
Active
predict

Montana Grizzlies vs. Oregon Ducks

N/A
N/A
22¢
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3h 52m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
Avg: 12¢Max: 22¢
kalshi

Montana

4%
2%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$6,679
4,110%
N/A
$6,270
6h 52m
Active
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Montana Grizzlies and the Oregon Ducks, scheduled for November 2nd. Markets ask whether either team will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves positively on a win by either team, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Polymarket allows for more precise prediction; Kalshi's market is effectively a 'game completion' bet.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the specific winning team (Montana Grizzlies or Oregon Ducks). "If the Montana Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Montana Grizzlies". If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Oregon Ducks".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Montana or Oregon wins. "If Oregon wins...the market resolves to Yes. If Montana wins...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Montana Grizzlies and Oregon Ducks on November 2 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they win the men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours leads to a fair price resolution for both markets. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Montana Grizzlies and Oregon Ducks on November 2 at 10:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Grizzlies-Ducks game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It allows you to view a consensus view of the likely outcome, currently showing a combined volume of $7,010. The dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes as expressed by traders on these platforms, providing a comprehensive overview of expectations. This is a unique view, as it combines insights from different forecasting venues to give a more robust prediction than looking at any single market in isolation.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate 'wisdom of the crowd' assessment. However, sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and perceived risk, causing discrepancies. Volume on this market is currently $7,010, suggesting moderate interest.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Montana Grizzlies vs. Oregon Ducks at 5.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Oregon wins at 96.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Montana Grizzlies versus Oregon Ducks game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out based on the odds available at the time of their trade, offering a financial reward for accurate forecasting.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Montana Grizzlies or the Oregon Ducks would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team performance during the season, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic changes could also move the market. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for the latest developments that might affect the outcome of the Grizzlies-Ducks game.