This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Monmouth Hawks and William & Mary Tribe scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Monmouth win or William & Mary win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until corrected. Use Polymarket as the reliable market. Kalshi's current logic is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all structure. Monmouth Hawks win resolves to 'Monmouth Hawks'; William & Mary Tribe win resolves to 'William & Mary Tribe'. Postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
Kalshi: Defective Yes/No logic where both possible outcomes map to Yes. Both 'If Monmouth wins' and 'If William & Mary wins' resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No specification of No resolution condition or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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