TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Monbus Obradoiro vs. Real Madrid
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Monbus Obradoiro vs. Real Madrid?

Volume:
$111,489

O/U 176.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 176.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 10:21 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 176.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,331
N/A
N/A
$25,749
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid (-13.5)

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Obradoiro CAB

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,198
N/A
N/A
$17,782
Settled
No
polymarket

Monbus Obradoiro vs. Real Madrid

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers the Liga Endesa basketball game between Monbus Obradoiro and Real Madrid on October 4th. Markets exist for the outright winner, the point spread, and the over/under total points scored. Resolution hinges on the official final score published by acb.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market is scheduled for October 4, 2026, while Polymarket's is for October 4, 2024. This represents a significant date discrepancy and potential SKU risk.Hero tip: Focus trading activity on Polymarket, as it reflects the current game schedule. Exercise extreme caution with Kalshi due to the date mismatch.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on the final score of the game scheduled for October 4th, 2024, as published on acb.com. Postponement extends the market until completion; cancellation results in a 50-50 split. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 4th, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome is triggered if either team wins. "If Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Obradoiro CAB men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for October 4 at 6:30AM ET: If the Monbus Obradoiro win, the market will resolve to "Monbus Obradoiro". If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Real Madrid and Obradoiro CAB, scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 6:30 AM EDT. If Real Madrid wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and if Obradoiro CAB wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the outcome of the Monbus Obradoiro versus Real Madrid basketball game within the Spanish ACB basketball market. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: Real Madrid (-13.5) at 99, while Kalshi leans toward Obradoiro CAB wins at an unlisted percentage. This allows for a consensus view of the likely winner, aggregating data from multiple prediction markets. Total volume across both platforms is $111,489, with $110,764 traded in the last 24 hours, indicating market interest and activity in predicting the game's result.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome of the Monbus Obradoiro and Real Madrid game.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions on the probability of each outcome. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; lower volume on one platform can result in wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design—such as the types of contracts offered or the fees charged—can influence trading behavior and price levels. These variations contribute to the distinct perspectives seen on Polymarket and Kalshi regarding this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Monbus Obradoiro or Real Madrid would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also alter perceptions. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or social media trends, could also move the market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to influence trading volume and price.