TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:51 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00AM ET: If the Monbus Obradoiro win, the market will resolve to "Monbus Obradoiro". If the Forca Lleida CE win, the market will resolve to "Forca Lleida CE". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for October 11 at 6:00AM ET: If the Monbus Obradoiro win, the market will resolve to "Monbus Obradoiro". If the Forca Lleida CE win, the market will resolve to "Forca Lleida CE". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a collective wisdom that can be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial odds on Polymarket may differ from those found at sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and differing participant bases. It’s common to see the prediction market odds converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monbus Obradoiro versus Forca Lleida CE basketball game. The platform will verify the final score against widely available and trusted sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Game-day performance during the early stages of the game, and even pre-game analysis from sports analysts, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the league could also cause fluctuations in trading volume and price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.