TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This group covers the Liga Endesa basketball game between Monbus Obradoiro and CB Breogan Lugo, scheduled for November 1st. Markets exist for the overall winner, the point spread, and the total points scored in the game.
In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for November 1 at 6:00AM ET: If the Monbus Obradoiro win, the market will resolve to "Monbus Obradoiro". If the CB Breogan Lugo win, the market will resolve to "CB Breogan Lugo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The event determines the winner of a men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between CB Breogan and Obradoiro CAB, scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 6:00 AM EST. If Obradoiro CAB wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if CB Breogan wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade, leading to odds that can be more sensitive to new information or shifts in public opinion. While both aim to predict the same event, the mechanisms and participants differ, potentially resulting in discrepancies. It's common to see differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges before the event.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Spanish Liga ACB. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket favors Monbus Obradoiro vs. CB Breogan Lugo at 55.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Obradoiro CAB wins. These differences highlight the independent price-setting mechanisms at play on each platform.