TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:04 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Monagas SC" if Monagas SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Estudiantes de Merida" if Estudiantes de Merida are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Monagas SC" if Monagas SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Estudiantes de Merida" if Estudiantes de Merida are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Monagas SC or Estudiantes de Merida will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, while the price of the other outcome decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all traders participating in the market. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match. The official match records will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The market will close prior to the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also play a role. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or match location are additional catalysts. Even broader factors, like a team’s recent performance in other matches or changes in their overall form, can affect how traders assess their chances of scoring first.