TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Venezuela) game between Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Venezuela) game between Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks for the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match. These differences can arise from varying information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is unlikely, the price will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the exact score that occurred during the official match. Any disputes regarding the final score will be resolved using official match data and sources. Traders should ensure they understand the resolution timeline and have sufficient time to adjust their positions before the event concludes.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monagas SC or Estudiantes de Merida would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee, could also trigger movement. Monitoring these factors and staying informed about the teams involved is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.