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Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida?

Volume:
$64,901

Monagas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Monagas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,178
N/A
N/A
$26,887
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Monagas SC

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,391
N/A
N/A
$8,529
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Est. Merida

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,638
N/A
N/A
$6,836
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de Merida

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a professional soccer match between Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida in the Venezuelan Liga FUTVE. The markets ask for a prediction on which team will win, or if the match will end in a tie, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms define resolution based on the same criteria: the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Monagas SC vs. Estudiantes de Merida match.Primary resolution logic: Official Liga FUTVE results

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Monagas SC wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Estudiantes de Merida wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Abandonment: If the match is abandoned before 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will likely be voided or resolved based on official league rules regarding abandoned matches. Consult official Liga FUTVE regulations for specific guidance.
  • Rescheduled Match: If the match is rescheduled, the market will likely be suspended and resolved based on the result of the rescheduled match, adhering to the 90-minute plus stoppage time rule.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official Liga FUTVE results are available following the completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Venezuela) game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida.

Kalshi

The event covers all possible outcomes of the Monagas vs Est. Merida professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Monagas or Est. Merida markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The governing body is the Venezuela Liga FUTVE, and Kalshi is not affiliated with or connected to the league in any official capacity.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities associated with the outcome of Monagas SC versus Estudiantes de Merida in the Venezuelan Primera División. It aggregates trading volume from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the market. Currently, the total volume across both venues is $64,901, with $57,760 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare the collective wisdom of the crowd to traditional odds-making. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the Venezuelan Primera División market, showcasing where the smart money is flowing.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, particularly as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may adjust odds based on public perception, this market relies on direct incentives for correct predictions, potentially offering a more insightful view of the likely result. The current volume of $64,901 suggests growing interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying levels of expertise and information. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket may have a higher concentration of traders with specific knowledge about Venezuelan football, while Kalshi might attract a broader range of participants. These factors contribute to potential discrepancies in the perceived probabilities, even for the same underlying event. The current volume is $64,901.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Monagas SC or Estudiantes de Merida would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant bets placed on either Polymarket or Kalshi could shift the odds as traders react to new information or perceived advantages. Monitoring sports news and team updates will be crucial for understanding potential market movements. The current volume of $64,901 indicates active trading.