TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Monaco and Toulouse. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the excitement and uncertainty inherent in live sports competitions.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Monaco vs Toulouse Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed a specified threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals—after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of various outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges for the Monaco vs Toulouse match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome. The goal is to accurately predict the final goal tally.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Monaco vs Toulouse match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goal range will receive a payout according to the market's pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monaco or Toulouse would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment and betting patterns observed elsewhere could also contribute to price fluctuations.