TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Monaco faces Toulouse in a Ligue 1 game where both teams may seek to exploit each other’s defensive vulnerabilities. The result will depend on whether each team can convert chances into goals before the final whistle.
If Monaco and Toulouse both score a goal in the Monaco vs Toulouse Ligue 1 match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, whereas this market is driven by a wider range of participants. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing information or interpretations of the event. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as both attempt to accurately predict the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Monaco vs Toulouse match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of a ‘Yes’ outcome – both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether both Monaco and Toulouse score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This market's resolution is independent of any pre-match analysis or predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monaco or Toulouse would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical shifts announced by either team’s manager could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even public opinion and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence trading activity on Kalshi.