TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Monaco wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Monaco wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:22h:35m
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This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Monaco and Nordsjaelland, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both clubs during the match. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of a professional Conference League soccer match between Monaco and Nordsjaelland, scheduled for November 5, 2026. Resolution is determined exclusively by the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Monaco winning by more than 2.5 goals, Monaco winning by more than 1.5 goals, Nordsjaelland winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Nordsjaelland winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any outcome that meets one of these conditions triggers a 'Yes' resolution, while all other results resolve as 'No'. The rules explicitly note that the platform operating the event has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price of contracts in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s a way to compare collective intelligence against professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Monaco vs Nordsjaelland match. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Monaco vs Nordsjaelland match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as traders react to new information or reassess their predictions about the Monaco vs Nordsjaelland match.