TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between Monaco and Lille in their upcoming Ligue 1 match. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, reflecting how decisively one side may dominate the other. Outcomes are determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four markets that resolve based on the goal differential in the Monaco vs Lille Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. All markets conclude after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Monaco wins by more than 2.5 goals under the first market, or by more than 1.5 goals under the second market. Conversely, if Lille wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to 'Yes,' and if Lille secures a victory by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to 'Yes.' Each market operates independently, and the governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Ligue 1 governing body. All trademarks and branding remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – and as the event draws closer, you may observe convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading volume.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monaco vs Lille match, as reported by a trusted sporting news source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news leading up to the resolution date, as any unforeseen circumstances could impact the final result and the market’s settlement.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Monaco or Lille would likely cause price movement. Unexpected changes in team form, managerial decisions, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches, or significant public endorsements of one team over the other, could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates related to the teams and the match will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move the market.