TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Monaco and Freiburg, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both clubs during the game. The result is determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Monaco vs Freiburg professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 22, 2026. Resolution depends on the goal differential by which either team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Monaco winning by more than 2.5 goals, Monaco winning by more than 1.5 goals, Freiburg winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Freiburg winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion represents a separate condition under which the event resolves positively. If none of these conditions are met—meaning the match ends in a draw, a Monaco win by exactly 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or a Freiburg win by exactly 1.5 or 2.5 goals—the event resolves negatively. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals making independent assessments. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in the Monaco vs Freiburg match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Monaco vs Freiburg match, specifically the spread as defined by the market contract. The platform will utilize publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winner and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be officially closed and payouts processed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Monaco or Freiburg would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in market expectations, potentially driving price fluctuations in this market.