TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Monaco vs. Barcelona
Volume:
$393,441
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 24 at 1:30PM ET: If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to "Monaco". If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Barcelona win and Monaco win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary event. Additionally, scheduled game times differ by 30 minutes between platforms (1:30 PM ET on Polymarket vs 2:00 PM EDT on Kalshi).Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market due to the logical impossibility of both outcomes resolving Yes. Polymarket's mutually exclusive resolution (Monaco vs Barcelona) is the only coherent structure. Verify the actual official game start time via Euroleague Basketball's official schedule before settlement, as the 30-minute discrepancy suggests one platform has outdated information.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Barcelona wins AND Yes if Monaco wins. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary event. Scheduled time: 2:00 PM EDT on April 24, 2026. Key quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If AS Monaco wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Market resolves to Monaco if Monaco wins, Barcelona if Barcelona wins, with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Scheduled time: 1:30 PM ET on April 24, 2026. Includes postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup). Key quote: 'If the Monaco win, the market will resolve to Monaco. If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to Barcelona.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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