TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming UEFA Nations League soccer match between Moldova and Slovakia. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time. The outcome depends purely on the match's scoring dynamics without considering any post-match events.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Moldova vs Slovakia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). For any given market, if the total goals scored by both teams during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts—exceeds the specified threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If not, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value, and discrepancies between the two can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see the market converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts expectations as the event approaches. Traders can set their own buy and sell orders, creating a liquid and transparent market for predicting the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Moldova vs Slovakia match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time or added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Moldova or Slovakia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could influence trading activity. Finally, even public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere could contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.