TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in the soccer match between Moldova and Slovakia on October 6, 2026. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' team scoring in the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming match between Moldova and Slovakia, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Moldova" if Moldova are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Slovakia" if Slovakia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Moldova and Slovakia, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Moldova" if Moldova are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Slovakia" if Slovakia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for the Moldova vs. Slovakia match, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow traders to express their beliefs directly. This market's odds reflect the aggregated opinions of informed traders, potentially revealing insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous updating as new information emerges, making them potentially more responsive to late-breaking news than fixed sportsbook lines.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and platform-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price discovery; higher volume generally leads to more accurate and efficient pricing. The current difference in probabilities for this market reflects these factors, with Polymarket currently favoring Neither team to score first at 97, while Predict leans toward Neither team to score first at n/a.