TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the exact final score of the UEFA Nations League match between Moldova and Slovakia on October 6, 2026. Markets include all possible scorelines, as well as an 'Any Other Score' option. Resolution is based on the score at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Moldova and Slovakia, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Moldova vs. Slovakia match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Moldova and Slovakia, scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Moldova vs. Slovakia match originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect. Sportsbooks, while employing sophisticated models, may be influenced by factors like public bias or the desire to balance their book. The efficiency of this market means prices quickly adjust to new information, potentially offering an edge over static sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks often offer different market structures, like spreads or over/unders, which aren’t directly comparable.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of various exact scores. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price discovery. If one platform has significantly more volume, its prices may be more responsive to new information or shifts in sentiment. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies for the Moldova vs. Slovakia match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by social media or expert analysis, might lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Finally, any major upsets in other qualifying matches could indirectly affect the perceived chances of either team.