TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Moldova vs. Slovakia
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Moldova vs. Slovakia?

Volume:
$334,882

Slovakia

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 4:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Slovakia

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$72,176
N/A
N/A
$48,806
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Slovakia

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$49,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SVK

View
99%
28%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$30,808
$32,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
3%
17%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$292
$2,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,225
N/A
N/A
$38,978
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Moldova vs. Slovakia)

View
0%
19%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MOL

View
1%
9%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$324
$11,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Moldova

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,233
N/A
N/A
$73,732
Settled
No
polymarket

Moldova

View
0%
10%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Moldova and Slovakia, scheduled for October 6, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Slovakia winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official result of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by UEFA. Keep an eye on October 6, 2026, as that is the date for the match and the end of the betting period for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between Polymarket and Kalshi.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading. Polymarket's draw market benefits from cancellation, while Kalshi's win/loss markets are negatively impacted.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the draw market will resolve to "Yes". All other markets resolve to "No".
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled, the market resolves to "No" for all markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Moldova and Slovakia.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Moldova vs Slovakia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 6, 2026, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Moldova win, Slovakia win, or a tie. If Moldova scores more goals than Slovakia by the end of regulation time, the Moldova market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Slovakia finishes with more goals, its market resolves to Yes. Should both teams score the same number of goals during regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Moldova and Slovakia.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes in the Moldova vs. Slovakia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $334,882, with $325,390 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects the collective prediction of traders on whether Slovakia will win, or if Moldova will achieve an upset. The dashboard provides a consensus view, displaying the combined probabilities and trading activity from both venues, offering a comprehensive look at market sentiment surrounding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, dynamically adjusting probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise among participants and the incentives at play in each venue.