TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Moldova vs. Lithuania
Volume:
$261,746
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional international friendly soccer match between Moldova and Lithuania scheduled for March 26, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of postponements (markets remain open) and cancellations (draw resolves Yes, team wins resolve No).
Primary resolution logic:
FIFA official statistics as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Moldova win, Lithuania win, or draw/tie.
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game: draw/tie markets resolve to Yes; Moldova win and Lithuania win markets resolve to No.
- Resolution uses official FIFA statistics as primary source; if not published within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is acceptable.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date.
- Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, draw markets resolve Yes and team-win markets resolve No.
- Resolution source delay: If FIFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible reporting sources.
- Scope of play: Only the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics must be available or credible consensus reached within 2 hours post-match for final settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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