TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Moldova vs. Kazakhstan
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Moldova vs. Kazakhstan?

Total volume:
$39
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$3,645
22%
Open interest:
$39
0%

Kazakhstan

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:14h:19m

Kazakhstan wins

37%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 37¢ buys you 270 shares | Odds: 37% Total Payout: $270 | Net Profit: $170 Multiplier: 2.70x | ROI: 170% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kazakhstan

Trade
37%
Yes 37¢No 64¢
1¢
N/A
$38
0%
N/A
$38
1w 3d 14h
Active
polymarket

Kazakhstan

Trade
35%
Yes 39¢No 70¢
9¢
$1,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 11h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
37%
Yes 37¢No 64¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 9¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
79%
Yes 35¢No 77¢
12¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
1w 3d 14h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Moldova vs. Kazakhstan)

Trade
30%
1%
Yes 36¢No 76¢
12¢
$1,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 11h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 35¢No 77¢
Avg: 12¢Max: 12¢
kalshi

Moldova

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 14h
Active
polymarket

Moldova

Trade
35%
2%
Yes 42¢No 73¢
15¢
$1,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 11h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 12¢Max: 15¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Moldova and Kazakhstan scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets ask whether Moldova will win, Kazakhstan will win, or the game will end in a draw. Resolution relies on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides detailed abandonment rules, while Kalshi lacks explicit guidance on how abandoned or canceled games are resolved.Hero tip: Be aware of the potential for game abandonment, especially when trading on Kalshi, as its resolution criteria are less defined in such cases. Polymarket offers more clarity on no-result scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled or abandoned with no official result by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Moldova win market resolves to "No" and the Draw market resolves to "Yes". Abandonment rules prioritize official rulings or awarded results.
  • Kalshi: If Moldova wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Kazakhstan wins, the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result, the market resolves to Yes. No explicit abandonment rules are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Moldova and Kazakhstan, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Moldova wins the Moldova vs Kazakhstan professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Kazakhstan wins the Moldova vs Kazakhstan professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Moldova vs Kazakhstan professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Moldova vs. Kazakhstan match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $39, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. It provides a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, allowing you to see how traders are collectively assessing the likelihood of different results. The dashboard tracks the price discovery process as it unfolds across these prediction markets, offering a dynamic perspective on expectations surrounding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, allow anyone to trade, and prices are driven purely by supply and demand, representing the aggregate beliefs of participants. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, especially when a large and informed trading volume exists, as is the case with a volume of $39 for this event.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Differences in these elements can lead to divergent price discovery. Furthermore, Polymarket currently favors Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-11-13? at 34.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Tie is the result at 79.0%, indicating differing sentiment among traders on each venue. These discrepancies are normal and reflect the independent price formation processes on each platform.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Moldova vs. Kazakhstan match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The final price on this market will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize gains or losses based on their predictions. The outcome will be determined by the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules established by the governing sporting body.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create short-term price movements, as can broader trends in public opinion or betting activity related to the Moldova vs. Kazakhstan match. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.