TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Eliteserien league. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event considers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends evenly.
The event covers a professional Eliteserien soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, between Molde and Fredrikstad. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Molde, a win for Fredrikstad, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the defined procedures. The resolution depends solely on the full-time result as officially recorded, with no affiliation to the governing league or its branding entities.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market represents the aggregate belief of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating opportunities for value. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Molde vs Fredrikstad match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Molde vs Fredrikstad match, as officially recorded by the governing sporting body. The market will determine which outcome—a Molde win, a Fredrikstad win, or a draw—is the most likely, based on trading activity leading up to the resolution date. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Molde or Fredrikstad would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key personnel, or even significant shifts in public opinion, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning, or of a draw, has the potential to move this market.