TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:53 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Molde FK and IK Start, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Molde FK and IK Start, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. This can lead to differences in probabilities, particularly as the event approaches and new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team conditions than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective forecast of all traders on Polymarket regarding which team will score first in the Molde FK vs. IK Start match. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a more accurate probability.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Molde FK vs. IK Start match. Official match reports and recognized sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted which team would break the deadlock first.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Molde FK or IK Start would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to price movement. Unexpected lineup announcements or late-breaking news about team morale could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions accordingly.