TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Molde FK and Fredrikstad FK, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Molde FK and Fredrikstad FK, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Molde FK" if Molde FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fredrikstad FK" if Fredrikstad FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Consequently, the odds on Polymarket may shift more dynamically in response to new information or changing sentiment than those found at many sportsbooks, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely result of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation that it will occur. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Molde FK or Fredrikstad FK—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on the official match records and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. The market will close prior to the end of the match to prevent any manipulation.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Molde FK or Fredrikstad FK would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also be a factor, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could sway the market's direction.