TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:13h:10m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a single Indian Super League soccer match between Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Odisha FC, scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets exist for Mohun Bagan winning, Odisha FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Indian Super League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Odisha FC.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Mohun Bagan versus Odisha Indian Super League match scheduled for November 5, 2026, determined solely after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team—or to a tie market if neither side secures a victory. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original, all markets will instead resolve at a fair price, reflecting the most current, reasonable valuation of each outcome under the circumstances. No extra-time or penalty-phase results influence these markets.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a broader range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This market benefits from the diverse perspectives of traders who may consider factors not captured by conventional models, such as team morale, recent news, or even subtle player conditions. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets and liquidity.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Mohun Bagan wins at 70.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Odisha FC winning at 77.0%. Differences in market design, such as the types of orders allowed or the availability of limit orders, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing risk appetites among traders on each platform can lead to variations in how they value the same outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Indian Super League match between Mohun Bagan Super Giant and Odisha FC will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official league results and widely available sports news sources to verify the final score and declare a winner. Traders should monitor these sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mohun Bagan Super Giant or Odisha FC would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, could influence trader behavior. Finally, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements in this market.