TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Tommy Morris and Jim McEwan in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 12 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Morris' if Tommy Morris wins against Jim McEwan. This market will resolve to 'Jim McEwan' if Jim McEwan wins against Tommy Morris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Tommy Morris and Jim McEwan in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 12 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Morris' if Tommy Morris wins against Jim McEwan. This market will resolve to 'Jim McEwan' if Jim McEwan wins against Tommy Morris. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Morris vs McEwan match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also cause movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market isn't necessarily tied to these external factors. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely winner could impact trading activity and the price of shares.