TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Steve Lennon and Conor Heneghan in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 6 at 8:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Steve Lennon' if Steve Lennon wins against Conor Heneghan. This market will resolve to 'Conor Heneghan' if Conor Heneghan wins against Steve Lennon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Steve Lennon and Conor Heneghan in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 6 at 8:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Steve Lennon' if Steve Lennon wins against Conor Heneghan. This market will resolve to 'Conor Heneghan' if Conor Heneghan wins against Steve Lennon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets often have lower liquidity than established sportsbooks, potentially leading to wider spreads. Examining these differences can offer insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the likelihood of a particular result in the Lennon vs Heneghan match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lennon vs Heneghan match as declared by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the form or fitness of Steve Lennon or Conor Heneghan, such as injuries or changes in their training regimes, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or changes in their ranking, might also impact trader sentiment. Public commentary from experts or analysts, and even social media discussions, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Ultimately, any event that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could move this market.