TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Scott Mitchell and Tommy Morris in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 14 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scott Mitchell' if Scott Mitchell wins against Tommy Morris. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Morris' if Tommy Morris wins against Scott Mitchell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Scott Mitchell and Tommy Morris in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 14 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Scott Mitchell' if Scott Mitchell wins against Tommy Morris. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Morris' if Tommy Morris wins against Scott Mitchell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets, like this one, are driven purely by supply and demand. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' more accurately, especially when there's significant public information available. However, sportsbooks may react more quickly to breaking news that isn’t yet reflected in the prediction market price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process ensures the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and trader opinions regarding the MODUS Super Series darts match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the MODUS Super Series organizers for the Scott Mitchell versus Tommy Morris match. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to their playing strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also impact confidence in either player. Public analysis and predictions from darts experts could also play a role, as traders incorporate this information into their assessments. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either Scott Mitchell or Tommy Morris winning will likely move this market.