TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Oliver Mitchell and Danny Ayres in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 9:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Mitchell' if Oliver Mitchell wins against Danny Ayres. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Oliver Mitchell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Oliver Mitchell and Danny Ayres in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 9:05AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Mitchell' if Oliver Mitchell wins against Danny Ayres. This market will resolve to 'Danny Ayres' if Danny Ayres wins against Oliver Mitchell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by marketing or public perception. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbook odds may initially differ, they often converge with prediction market probabilities as the event approaches, as both attempt to reflect the true likelihood of each outcome. It’s useful to compare the two to gain a more comprehensive understanding of expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast for the Mitchell vs Ayres match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction in the various possible results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mitchell vs Ayres match, as reported by the governing body or official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Oliver Mitchell or Danny Ayres could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also impact trading behavior. Finally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations, as traders react to perceived new information or shifts in confidence.