TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Niek Tuik and Steve Lennon in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 6 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niek Tuik' if Niek Tuik wins against Steve Lennon. This market will resolve to 'Steve Lennon' if Steve Lennon wins against Niek Tuik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Niek Tuik and Steve Lennon in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 6 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niek Tuik' if Niek Tuik wins against Steve Lennon. This market will resolve to 'Steve Lennon' if Steve Lennon wins against Niek Tuik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading shares, theoretically leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized prediction market compared to a centralized sportsbook.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This creates a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast than static odds offered elsewhere. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series darts match between Niek Tuik and Steve Lennon as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a clear favorite could also drive price movements. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the MODUS Super Series could also impact trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely lead to changes in the price of shares in this market.