TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Wiles and Jamie Atkins in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 4:55PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Jamie Atkins. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Atkins' if Jamie Atkins wins against Michael Wiles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Wiles and Jamie Atkins in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 4:55PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Jamie Atkins. This market will resolve to 'Jamie Atkins' if Jamie Atkins wins against Michael Wiles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probabilities as assessed by bettors. This can lead to differences, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to news and insights than sportsbooks, as they are driven by a more informed and engaged audience. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can occur.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants on Polymarket and is a dynamic indicator of expectations for the MODUS Super Series darts match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series darts match between Michael Wiles and Jamie Atkins, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The market will then settle to reflect which player was ultimately victorious in the match, providing a clear and objective determination of the outcome based on the publicly available results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance in other matches could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could trigger price movements, as others react to their actions. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning has the potential to move this market.