TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Wiles and David Davies in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 29 at 10:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against David Davies. This market will resolve to 'David Davies' if David Davies wins against Michael Wiles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Wiles and David Davies in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 29 at 10:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against David Davies. This market will resolve to 'David Davies' if David Davies wins against Michael Wiles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison, particularly for understanding public perception and identifying potential value discrepancies in this market. It's important to consider the different incentives at play when interpreting both sets of odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it. Trading volume influences how quickly the price adjusts to new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Michael Wiles and David Davies. The platform will rely on publicly available, authoritative sources to determine the winner of the match. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be verified. The market will then settle based on which competitor ultimately prevails in the match.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact the market. Furthermore, broader trends in the MODUS Super Series or the players’ overall standings could influence trader sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, though the market’s pricing is ultimately determined by the actions of traders on Polymarket.