TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Wiles and Aden Kirk in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Aden Kirk. This market will resolve to 'Aden Kirk' if Aden Kirk wins against Michael Wiles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Michael Wiles and Aden Kirk in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 3 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wiles' if Michael Wiles wins against Aden Kirk. This market will resolve to 'Aden Kirk' if Aden Kirk wins against Michael Wiles. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's potential outcomes. It is common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the MODUS Super Series match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Michael Wiles and Aden Kirk. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to payouts based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in their playing style could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, significant bets from influential traders or large volume spikes could signal shifts in market expectations. Public opinion and analysis from darts experts might also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of those directly participating in trading.