TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jack Aldridge and Grant Sampson in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Grant Sampson. This market will resolve to 'Grant Sampson' if Grant Sampson wins against Jack Aldridge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jack Aldridge and Grant Sampson in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 20 at 7:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Grant Sampson. This market will resolve to 'Grant Sampson' if Grant Sampson wins against Jack Aldridge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market perceives information differently or anticipates factors not fully accounted for by traditional bookmakers. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived value of various outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market efficiently incorporates new data, making it a dynamic indicator of expectations surrounding the Aldridge vs Sampson match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aldridge vs Sampson match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact perceptions of each player’s chances. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or rule adjustments, could also cause significant movement. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market.