TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Jack Aldridge and Graham Usher in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 20 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Graham Usher. This market will resolve to 'Graham Usher' if Graham Usher wins against Jack Aldridge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Jack Aldridge and Graham Usher in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 20 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Graham Usher. This market will resolve to 'Graham Usher' if Graham Usher wins against Jack Aldridge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. If a significant difference emerges, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to, or place greater weight on, information not fully priced into sportsbook lines. This can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aldridge vs Usher match as reported by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final result and how it impacts this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even changes in weather conditions (if applicable to the venue), could also impact trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, though prediction markets often demonstrate independent thought. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.