TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 12:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Harrison Leigh and Oliver Mitchell in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Oliver Mitchell. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Mitchell' if Oliver Mitchell wins against Harrison Leigh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Harrison Leigh and Oliver Mitchell in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 9 at 10:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Oliver Mitchell. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Mitchell' if Oliver Mitchell wins against Harrison Leigh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when complex factors are at play. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and comparing against the crowd's forecast in this market. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the market believes information is mispriced.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. This creates a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each player winning the match, based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Harrison Leigh vs Oliver Mitchell match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is definitively established.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could shift the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on match conditions, such as weather forecasts or venue changes, might cause traders to reassess their predictions. A strong performance by either Harrison Leigh or Oliver Mitchell in a preceding tournament could also move this market considerably.