TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Harrison Leigh and Conor Heneghan in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 10:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Conor Heneghan. This market will resolve to 'Conor Heneghan' if Conor Heneghan wins against Harrison Leigh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Harrison Leigh and Conor Heneghan in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 8 at 10:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harrison Leigh' if Harrison Leigh wins against Conor Heneghan. This market will resolve to 'Conor Heneghan' if Conor Heneghan wins against Harrison Leigh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action on both sides and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into where the crowd thinks sportsbooks might be mispricing the event. Keep in mind that prediction markets are forward-looking and can react quickly to new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and the availability of information.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Harrison Leigh vs Conor Heneghan match, as reported by the governing body of the MODUS Super Series. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of Harrison Leigh or Conor Heneghan, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in their recent performance, strategic adjustments, or even weather conditions affecting the match could also move the market. Unexpected announcements related to the MODUS Super Series or the players’ participation could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves.