TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Grant Sampson and Jack Aldridge in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 19 at 5:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grant Sampson' if Grant Sampson wins against Jack Aldridge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Grant Sampson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Grant Sampson and Jack Aldridge in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 19 at 5:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grant Sampson' if Grant Sampson wins against Jack Aldridge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Grant Sampson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts, expressing their own informed opinions. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for anyone interested in the event, providing a broader range of viewpoints on the likely outcome of the Sampson vs Aldridge match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentives for traders to accurately predict the event's outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing system aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each possible result in the match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Grant Sampson and Jack Aldridge, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Grant Sampson or Jack Aldridge could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one might also shift perceptions of the players' overall capabilities. Public commentary from experts or analysts, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also serve as catalysts for price movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in market sentiment.