TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Graham Usher and Stuart Dutton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 20 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Graham Usher' if Graham Usher wins against Stuart Dutton. This market will resolve to 'Stuart Dutton' if Stuart Dutton wins against Graham Usher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Graham Usher and Stuart Dutton in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 20 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Graham Usher' if Graham Usher wins against Stuart Dutton. This market will resolve to 'Stuart Dutton' if Stuart Dutton wins against Graham Usher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed individuals. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the incentive structure – prediction market participants are directly rewarded for accurate forecasts. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of a particular result in the Usher vs Dutton match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Graham Usher and Stuart Dutton. The platform will utilize publicly available and verifiable sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes could significantly shift expectations. Public commentary from experts or analysts, as well as any pre-match polls or predictions, might also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments during the match itself, such as a dominant early performance by one player, would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could move this market.