TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Graham Usher and Jack Aldridge in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 23 at 6:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Graham Usher' if Graham Usher wins against Jack Aldridge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Graham Usher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Graham Usher and Jack Aldridge in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 23 at 6:05PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Graham Usher' if Graham Usher wins against Jack Aldridge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Graham Usher. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may adjust lines based on public betting patterns to manage risk. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the Usher vs Aldridge match. Therefore, differences between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can highlight discrepancies in public perception versus informed, incentivized forecasting. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Usher vs Aldridge match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series match between Graham Usher and Jack Aldridge. Any official result declared by the governing body of the series will be considered the determining factor for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be verified and reported.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 30, 2026. News regarding player form, any reported injuries to either Graham Usher or Jack Aldridge, or significant changes in their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes might also play a role. Furthermore, any high-profile analysis or commentary from experts in the sport could impact the perceived probabilities, leading to adjustments in the market prices. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.