TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the darts match between Graham Hall and Tommy Lishman in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 23 at 7:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Graham Hall' if Graham Hall wins against Tommy Lishman. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Lishman' if Tommy Lishman wins against Graham Hall. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
This market refers to the darts match between Graham Hall and Tommy Lishman in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 23 at 7:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Graham Hall' if Graham Hall wins against Tommy Lishman. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Lishman' if Tommy Lishman wins against Graham Hall. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts based on their individual insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the MODUS Super Series darts match. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MODUS Super Series darts match, as declared by the event organizers. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on which outcome actually occurred. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, often referred to as “smart money,” can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring social media and sports news sources for updates on the players and the event itself will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.